Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 107.078228 123.515505 143.055427 168.412491 201.093968 242.760302 3.015958e+02
2024-10-27 84.057470 103.532802 129.241777 167.079755 224.130693 312.490624 4.738809e+02
2024-11-03 74.364379 95.872326 126.488422 176.143088 261.566002 420.444700 8.063829e+02
2024-11-10 70.881908 95.259711 132.498657 199.007160 330.872023 636.998042 1.775369e+03
2024-11-17 63.650856 87.585688 125.677992 197.823387 354.733320 782.900000 3.148028e+03
2024-11-24 58.144084 81.589090 120.211014 197.189443 379.411760 964.393147 6.399650e+03
2024-12-01 52.962168 75.360656 113.187296 191.483461 389.372977 1117.979223 1.356270e+04
2024-12-08 49.133260 70.858429 108.447210 189.235491 407.756246 1346.701754 4.985257e+04
2024-12-15 46.375951 67.814668 105.854702 190.958286 439.163110 1728.156403 2.301459e+08
2024-12-22 43.142030 63.617628 100.512893 185.144600 444.284736 1983.870337 NaN
2024-12-29 42.170486 63.244831 102.427213 197.100993 519.357729 3195.390016 NaN
2025-01-05 39.577020 59.736897 97.671002 191.210652 523.669419 3756.650982 NaN
2025-01-12 37.827764 57.793055 96.229063 194.817981 577.097704 5958.290656 NaN
2025-01-19 35.724028 55.043010 92.837797 192.567202 605.394781 8774.695442 NaN
2025-01-26 34.850670 54.492203 94.016288 203.744303 717.854156 25979.884660 NaN
2025-02-02 35.089232 56.064625 100.088087 232.338355 998.239424 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 33.470990 53.846556 97.192253 230.847606 1066.209603 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 32.047440 51.898239 94.684446 230.049889 1145.279314 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 30.428258 49.438794 90.683704 222.883648 1154.342941 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 29.161260 47.608921 88.019595 220.067096 1210.869008 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 28.230501 46.399913 86.741528 222.225299 1338.519806 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 26.948397 44.384713 83.261081 214.951299 1333.522497 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 26.703692 44.504598 85.157169 229.938615 1715.401283 NaN NaN